{"id":2162,"date":"2020-03-28T10:31:55","date_gmt":"2020-03-28T10:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/?p=2162"},"modified":"2020-03-28T10:35:08","modified_gmt":"2020-03-28T10:35:08","slug":"numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/","title":{"rendered":"Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don&#8217;t make sense. I am doing some basic calculations using infection and mortality of a few other countries and official figures from China are not even remotely closed to actual."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I am taking data from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcgis.com\/apps\/opsdashboard\/index.html#\/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">arcgis.com<\/a>&nbsp;and using this to calculate infection and mortality rates for some of more seriously infected countries, US UK, Italy, Iran and Spain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then I am calculating infection and mortality rates in China based on rates of above countries. Of these, only Iran has poorer infrastructure and unreliable figures. All other countries including even much hated US has much better health system, free press, better data collection, less pollution, less population density and are better than China in every single factor like elderly population which can affect these figures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The epidemic started in China first and no one had any clue about existence of disease (suppressed information) let alone treat it. At the very least, numbers of Italy and China should match. Even the test kits that China is exporting have&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.taiwannews.com.tw\/en\/news\/3903937\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">80% failure rates<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s quite clear that China should have a much much larger number of causalities. To be very conservative, I am comparing China with the above mentioned countries and posting figures accordingly. Actual death toll in China should be in a few 100s of thousands if not millions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is from 21st March. Will add more to this post as numbers change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><thead><tr><th><\/th><th>INFECTIONS<\/th><th>DEATHS<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>China-Italy<\/td><td>978,000<\/td><td>81,152<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-Spain<\/td><td>550,002<\/td><td>25,344<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-Iran<\/td><td>329,025<\/td><td>22,951<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>and this from 27th March<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><thead><tr><th><\/th><th>INFECTIONS<\/th><th>DEATHS<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>China-Italy<\/td><td>1920,704<\/td><td>195,790<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-Spain<\/td><td>550,002<\/td><td>132,807<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-Iran<\/td><td>329,025<\/td><td>33,932<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-US<\/td><td>372,076<\/td><td>5,607<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>China-UK<\/td><td>249,183<\/td><td>12,234<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/preview.redd.it\/kr1eenia1ep41.png?width=679&amp;format=png&amp;auto=webp&amp;s=fa477877e1c2b05691a6dedca69b24e2fdd302a5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/preview.redd.it\/kr1eenia1ep41.png?width=679&amp;format=png&amp;auto=webp&amp;s=fa477877e1c2b05691a6dedca69b24e2fdd302a5\" alt=\"Post image\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I am taking data from&nbsp;arcgis.com&nbsp;and using this to calculate infection and mortality rates for some of more seriously infected countries, US UK, Italy, Iran and Spain. Then I am calculating infection and mortality rates in China based on rates of above countries. Of these, only Iran has poorer infrastructure and unreliable figures. All other countries&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[33],"class_list":["post-2162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-china"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don&#039;t make sense. I am doing some basic calculations using infection and mortality of a few other countries and official figures from China are not even remotely closed to actual. - \u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don&#039;t make sense. I am doing some basic calculations using infection and mortality of a few other countries and official figures from China are not even remotely closed to actual. - \u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I am taking data from&nbsp;arcgis.com&nbsp;and using this to calculate infection and mortality rates for some of more seriously infected countries, US UK, Italy, Iran and Spain. Then I am calculating infection and mortality rates in China based on rates of above countries. Of these, only Iran has poorer infrastructure and unreliable figures. All other countries...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jjamwalin\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jjamwalin\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-03-28T10:31:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-03-28T10:35:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/preview.redd.it\/kr1eenia1ep41.png?width=679&amp;format=png&amp;auto=webp&amp;s=fa477877e1c2b05691a6dedca69b24e2fdd302a5\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jaidev Jamwal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JaidevJamwal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@JaidevJamwal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jaidev Jamwal\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/jjamwal.in\\\/yayavar\\\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/jjamwal.in\\\/yayavar\\\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jaidev Jamwal\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/jjamwal.in\\\/yayavar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4b29cbc0fe18a86ec09a7c01177deac4\"},\"headline\":\"Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don&#8217;t make sense. 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I am doing some basic calculations using infection and mortality of a few other countries and official figures from China are not even remotely closed to actual. - \u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don't make sense. I am doing some basic calculations using infection and mortality of a few other countries and official figures from China are not even remotely closed to actual. - \u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?","og_description":"I am taking data from&nbsp;arcgis.com&nbsp;and using this to calculate infection and mortality rates for some of more seriously infected countries, US UK, Italy, Iran and Spain. Then I am calculating infection and mortality rates in China based on rates of above countries. Of these, only Iran has poorer infrastructure and unreliable figures. All other countries...","og_url":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/","og_site_name":"\u0905\u0930\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0926?","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jjamwalin","article_author":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/jjamwalin","article_published_time":"2020-03-28T10:31:55+00:00","article_modified_time":"2020-03-28T10:35:08+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/preview.redd.it\/kr1eenia1ep41.png?width=679&amp;format=png&amp;auto=webp&amp;s=fa477877e1c2b05691a6dedca69b24e2fdd302a5","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Jaidev Jamwal","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JaidevJamwal","twitter_site":"@JaidevJamwal","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jaidev Jamwal","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/numbers-released-by-china-related-to-corona-virus-simply-dont-make-sense-i-am-doing-some-basic-calculations-using-infection-and-mortality-of-a-few-other-countries-and-official-figures-from-china-ar\/"},"author":{"name":"Jaidev Jamwal","@id":"https:\/\/jjamwal.in\/yayavar\/#\/schema\/person\/4b29cbc0fe18a86ec09a7c01177deac4"},"headline":"Numbers released by China related to Corona Virus simply don&#8217;t make sense. 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